Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 6 points from 12% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 153 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 39.5% on 16 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 6 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 6.5% on 11 Jun 2026.
It is one of 28 markets under “TIME Person of the Year 2026”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.2K since listing. The order book holds $31.71K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 76 trades, $73.96 bought Yes and $5.69K bought No; the largest was a $2.35K buy of No at 94.0¢.
The largest Yes position is eightpenguins with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is Tanjirooo with 4.5K. Ten wallets hold 89.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 6:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 153 points, 27 May 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 12.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tanjirooo | No | 4.49K |
| eightpenguins | Yes | 3.44K |
| pingentfan1 | Yes | 499.99 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/time-person-of-the-year-2026
16 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| dontshowmyname |
| Yes |
| 243.8 |
| Lunar Scout BE29 | Yes | 228.29 |
| thisissocool11 | No | 227 |
| RolandZhang | Yes | 208 |
| Snoopy121 | Yes | 203.64 |
| Ddonineteen | Yes | 179.99 |
| Dimpled-Foal | No | 170 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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