Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 221.04 | $0.769 | $164.68 | -$5.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 157 | $0.070 | $10.99 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 161.29 |
| $0.620 |
| $137.9 |
| +$37.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250.67 | $0.750 | $114.05 | -$73.95 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 115.19 | $0.807 | $96.18 | +$3.18 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 108.14 | $0.860 | $95.7 | +$2.7 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 99.27 | $0.755 | $77.83 | +$2.83 |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 165 | $0.085 | $61.3 | +$47.27 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 154.79 | $0.280 | $50.31 | +$6.97 |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | Yes | 44.17 | $0.540 | $37.76 | +$13.91 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 134.63 | $0.350 | $34.33 | -$12.79 |
 Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 37.48 | $0.674 | $23.24 | -$2.03 |
 Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention? | Yes | 29 | $0.433 | $17.11 | +$4.54 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 28 | $0.506 | $16.66 | +$2.48 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 71 | $0.200 | $15.98 | +$1.78 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 53.34 | $0.320 | $15.74 | -$1.33 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 53 | $0.248 | $14.95 | +$1.8 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 139.4 | $0.100 | $13.24 | -$0.7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | Yes | 136 | $0.100 | $12.92 | -$0.68 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 12.7 | $0.640 | $12.32 | +$4.19 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | No | 103 | $0.180 | $10.82 | -$7.73 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | Yes | 53.67 | $0.247 | $10.65 | -$2.6 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 157 | $0.070 | $10.21 | -$0.79 |
| Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 80 | $0.100 | $8.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 89.18 | $0.220 | $7.58 | -$12.04 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.31 | $0.310 | $6.76 | +$4.5 |
| sell |
| 2.84 |
| $0.690 |
| $1.96 |
| 5h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 2.48 | $0.690 | $1.71 | 5h ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.248 | $13.14 | 5h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 115.19 | $0.807 | $93 | 10h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 60.24 | $0.850 | $51.2 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 71 | $0.200 | $14.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | buy | 53.67 | $0.247 | $13.25 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?No | buy | 103 | $0.180 | $18.54 | 1d ago |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.085 | $14.03 | 1d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 80 | $0.100 | $8 | 1d ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.100 | $11.2 | 2d ago |
 Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?Yes | sell | 4.47 | $0.170 | $0.76 | 2d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Yes | sell | 222.26 | $0.016 | $3.56 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.160 | $12.16 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in September?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.220 | $9.46 | 3d ago |
 Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.310 | $0.88 | 3d ago |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.506 | $14.18 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 94 | $0.140 | $13.16 | 4d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 149 Warzone deaths during the marathon?No | buy | 20 | $0.668 | $13.36 | 4d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.470 | $28.2 | 4d ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.433 | $12.57 | 4d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have between 4 and 5 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.250 | $14 | 4d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 6.63 | $0.310 | $2.06 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 12.27 | $0.310 | $3.8 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 108.14 | $0.860 | $93 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.100 | $13.6 | 4d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | sell | 95.22 | $0.310 | $29.52 | 5d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.320 | $6.72 | 5d ago |
 Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | sell | 2.67 | $0.039 | $0.1 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 5d ago |
| Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | sell | 10.49 | $0.038 | $0.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 269 | $0.053 | $14.14 | 5d ago |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.022 | $2.09 | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?Yes | buy | 358 | $0.040 | $14.32 | 5d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 120 | $0.120 | $14.4 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 53.34 | $0.320 | $17.07 | 6d ago |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 20.55 | $0.373 | $7.67 | 8d ago |
 Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 23.59 | $0.370 | $8.73 | 8d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.360 | $0.24 | 8d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.92 | $0.360 | $0.33 | 8d ago |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 99.27 | $0.756 | $75 | 9d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.360 | $0.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.360 | $0.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.360 | $0.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.360 | $0.24 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.375 | $0.25 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.380 | $0.25 | 10d ago |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.380 | $0.25 | 10d ago |