Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 725.22 | $0.799 | $704.92 | +$125.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Katie Taylor vs. Flora PiliFlora Pili | sell | 25 | $0.010 | $0.25 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.31K |
| $0.376 |
| $453.9 |
| -$38.29 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 365 | $0.679 | $257.33 | +$9.63 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 700 | $0.363 | $241.5 | -$12.5 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | No | 296.11 | $0.530 | $193.95 | +$37.01 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 202.32 | $0.323 | $185.12 | +$119.68 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 270 | $0.546 | $136.35 | -$11.05 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 502.35 | $0.121 | $97.71 | +$36.87 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 118 | $0.702 | $93.81 | +$10.99 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.873 | $83.3 | -$4 |
 Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | Yes | 170.42 | $0.320 | $54.53 | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 2.07K | $0.026 | $52.74 | -$1.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.380 | $50.5 | +$12.5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.595 | $49.75 | -$9.8 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 114 | $0.366 | $43.61 | +$1.88 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 109.15 | $0.459 | $37.66 | -$12.46 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | Yes | 115 | $0.330 | $35.65 | -$2.3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 220 | $0.230 | $31.9 | -$18.7 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.240 | $28 | +$4 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 50 | $0.408 | $27.23 | +$6.83 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 120.6 | $0.437 | $24.72 | -$27.94 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.230 | $22 | -$1 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 100.01 | $0.185 | $14.5 | -$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.110 | $13.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 100 | $0.110 | $13.5 | +$2.5 |
| buy |
| 70 |
| $0.710 |
| $49.7 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.690 | $33.12 | 1d ago |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.200 | $1.26 | 1d ago |
| Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Yes | buy | 670.03 | $0.200 | $134.01 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 94.4 | $0.040 | $3.75 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 326 | $0.027 | $8.79 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 598.53 | $0.026 | $15.55 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.025 | $28.25 | 2d ago |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes | buy | 170.42 | $0.320 | $54.53 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.330 | $37.95 | 3d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 221.35 | $0.850 | $188.15 | 4d ago |
| Katie Taylor vs. Flora PiliFlora Pili | buy | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | 4d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 8d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 9d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 296.11 | $0.530 | $156.94 | 9d ago |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.018 | $5.27 | 9d ago |
 Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.042 | $1.26 | 9d ago |
 Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 33.41 | $0.030 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | 13d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | 15d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 23.97 | $0.650 | $15.58 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 130 | $0.300 | $39 | 20d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | 23d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | 23d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.650 | $195 | 23d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | 23d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.366 | $43.92 | 23d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.366 | $43.92 | 23d ago |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.052 | $52 | 28d ago |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.053 | $53 | 28d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.700 | $101.5 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.390 | $29.25 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 282.85 | $0.721 | $203.93 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 125.75 | $0.722 | $90.79 | 29d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 65.46 | $0.200 | $13.09 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.460 | $46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 19.7 | $0.540 | $10.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.645 | $38.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 40.99 | $0.643 | $26.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.520 | $78 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.350 | $42 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 175 | $0.310 | $54.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 250 | $0.830 | $207.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.46 | $0.082 | $3.55 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.428 | $51.37 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.561 | $8.41 | Jul 30, 2026 |