Analytics

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares | Avg entry | Cost basis | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 326.24 | 0.1% | $0.33 | |
| volto | Yes | 151.31 | 9.9% | $15 | Apr 19, 11:52 PM UTC |
| Mean-Sustenance | Yes | 123.99 | 4.8% | $6 | Mar 28, 7:04 AM UTC |
| huyewell | Yes | 119.39 | 0.2% | $0.24 | |
| zidann | Yes | 103.6 | 57.9% | $60 | Jan 30, 3:50 AM UTC |
| akunai | Yes | 100 | 5.0% | $5 | |
| easymoney2713 | Yes | 80.09 | 49.9% | $40 | Feb 4, 3:41 AM UTC |
| homelessturtle | No | 77.56 | 72.2% | $56 | Dec 2, 2:44 PM UTC |
| slycooper14 | Yes | 52.33 | 9.6% | $5 | Feb 26, 1:47 AM UTC |
| TheQuietGambler | Yes | 50 | 8.0% | $4 | |
| fm14 | Yes | 50 | 5.0% | $2.5 | |
| FredericChopin | Yes | 37.55 | 4.9% | $1.84 | |
| Swift Atlas C02C | Yes | 22 | 2.4% | $0.51 | May 3, 2:29 PM UTC |
| Rapid Orbit 136F | Yes | 21 | 2.7% | $0.55 | May 3, 3:28 PM UTC |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 18 | 0.1% | $0.02 | |
| fisher314 | Yes | 17 | 6.0% | $1.02 | |
| sanah | No | 15.8 | 65.8% | $10.39 | Jan 27, 2:20 AM UTC |
| Ratbert | Yes | 15.76 | 31.7% | $5 | Dec 10, 8:56 PM UTC |
| Rapid Pulse 6BBE | Yes | 15.5 | 13.3% | $2 | May 6, 6:32 PM UTC |
| Neon Raven 6F6D | No | 15 | 86.0% | $12.9 | Feb 23, 6:56 PM UTC |
| Lumpy-Golf | Yes | 14.41 | 14.3% | $1.99 | May 15, 6:16 AM UTC |
| Cobalt Horizon AE60 | Yes | 12 | 2.6% | $0.3 | May 3, 3:27 PM UTC |
| Yamaraja2 | Yes | 9.99 | 5.3% | $0.52 | |
| knurrrr | Yes | 7.19 | 14.4% | $1 | May 14, 8:32 PM UTC |
| Quiet Horizon 529F | Yes | 7.09 | 5.9% | $0.42 | Apr 20, 12:44 AM UTC |
| Menshy | No | 6.73 | 74.3% | $5 | Dec 7, 12:35 PM UTC |
| jellystone | No | 5.99 | 50.0% | $3 | |
| laurenz | No | 5.94 | 84.2% | $5 | Oct 17, 8:12 AM UTC |
| Amber Horizon 0681 | Yes | 5.79 | 19.0% | $1.1 | Feb 24, 3:06 AM UTC |
| Lunar Tide 00C3 | No | 5.6 | 94.0% | $5.26 | Apr 6, 8:52 AM UTC |
| Talkative-Wildebeest | Yes | 5.29 | 37.8% | $2 | Oct 10, 10:17 AM UTC |
| Ergole6 | No | 5.26 | 95.0% | $5 | Mar 13, 3:23 PM UTC |
| Jaded-Matchmaker | Yes | 3.85 | 26.0% | $1 | Jan 20, 7:21 PM UTC |
| TraderRebateCOM | Yes | 3.83 | 16.0% | $0.61 | |
| Laroy | Yes | 3.7 | 27.0% | $1 | Jan 22, 7:03 AM UTC |
| curiousigor | Yes | 3.57 | 28.0% | $1 | Jan 16, 12:08 PM UTC |
| R21llsa | Yes | 3.54 | 18.0% | $0.64 | Feb 24, 10:12 AM UTC |
| Vague-Wax | Yes | 3.03 | 33.0% | $1 | Oct 5, 6:02 AM UTC |
| defigod | Yes | 2.86 | 35.0% | $1 | Oct 7, 10:29 PM UTC |
| dragon4ua | No | 2.86 | 70.0% | $2 | Oct 1, 8:09 PM UTC |
| 5446735 | Yes | 2.85 | 30.0% | $0.86 | |
| BigCE | No | 2.67 | 75.0% | $2 | Sep 27, 1:21 AM UTC |
| wIsdImsdsIaq | Yes | 2.5 | 40.0% | $1 | Oct 12, 8:25 PM UTC |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 2 | 33.0% | $0.66 | Feb 12, 10:19 PM UTC |
| metapredictor | No | 1.79 | 56.0% | $1 | Jan 29, 12:49 PM UTC |
| nosepa | No | 1.54 | 65.0% | $1 | Sep 30, 4:20 PM UTC |
| TesterP | No | 1.4 | 58.0% | $0.81 | |
| Euphoric-Contribution | No | 1.37 | 73.0% | $1 | Nov 13, 12:23 AM UTC |
| Mafert67 | No | 1.35 | 85.0% | $1.15 | Oct 24, 8:08 AM UTC |
| qqqoim | No | 1.22 | 82.0% | $1 | Sep 26, 12:46 PM UTC |
| Ginaiy | No | 1.16 | 86.0% | $1 | Sep 26, 9:52 AM UTC |
| Iuyoip | No | 1.15 | 87.0% | $1 | Sep 26, 9:06 AM UTC |
| Fifofing | No | 1.12 | 89.0% | $1 | Sep 26, 1:09 AM UTC |
| Worse-Scenario | Yes | 1.03 | 10.0% | $0.1 | |
| OpenCrabAI | Yes | 1.02 | 2.3% | $0.02 | |
| daroghi | Yes | 1.01 | 6.0% | $0.06 | |
| Glittering-Elf | Yes | 1 | 2.2% | $0.02 | Apr 9, 5:38 PM UTC |
| no1biao | Yes | 0.67 | 18.0% | $0.12 | |
| constantinskuratovbelsky | Yes | 0.51 | 5.0% | $0.03 | Mar 19, 8:14 AM UTC |
| Plush-Origin | No | 0.34 | 99.9% | $0.34 | Jun 29, 8:30 PM UTC |
| Trader | Holding value |
|---|---|
| homelessturtle | $77.56 |
| sanah | $15.8 |
| Neon Raven 6F6D | $15 |
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| $6.73 |
| jellystone | $5.99 |
| laurenz | $5.94 |
| Lunar Tide 00C3 | $5.6 |
| Ergole6 | $5.26 |
| dragon4ua | $2.86 |
| BigCE | $2.67 |
| metapredictor | $1.79 |
| nosepa | $1.54 |