Question 1

What is the “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

Right now Yes trades at 98.8¢ and No at 1.2¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 98.8% for Yes and 1.2% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Oct 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($542.97) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($15.77K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 109 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 74.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 15, 8:56 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-by-october-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Bucentaure	buy	Yes	98.9%	542	Sep 15, 2:54 PM
Mustwiner	sell	No

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Questions about this market