Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4K | $0.535 | $2.06K | -$80 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | 11h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.35K |
| $0.206 |
| $730.25 |
| -$575.55 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 2.5K | $0.284 | $624.97 | -$84.49 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.39K | $0.408 | $485.36 | -$80.59 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 3K | $0.155 | $465 | $0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 300 | $0.974 | $292.5 | +$0.3 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.63K | $0.079 | $206.39 | -$1.21 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.318 | $202.5 | -$274.49 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | No | 848.36 | $0.262 | $173.91 | -$48.35 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 440.69 | $0.448 | $156.44 | -$40.79 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.082 | $130 | -$34.99 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | $0.510 | $126.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 753 | $0.147 | $120.48 | +$9.97 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.114 | $118.5 | +$4.5 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 600 | $0.288 | $111 | -$62 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.327 | $98 | -$33 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 126.92 | $0.024 | $95.13 | +$92.1 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 200 | $0.240 | $91 | +$43 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 300 | $0.291 | $75.15 | -$12.25 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? | No | 99.99 | $0.650 | $66.5 | +$1.5 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 199.99 | $0.330 | $62 | -$4 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 4K | $0.104 | $58 | -$358.64 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | $0.079 | $56.55 | +$32.85 |
 Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 1.61K | $0.040 | $55.66 | -$9.03 |
 Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | Yes | 331.22 | $0.169 | $48.03 | -$7.97 |
| buy |
| 10.69 |
| $0.490 |
| $5.24 |
| 11h ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.510 | $127.5 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.534 | $200.34 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 376.99 | $0.850 | $320.44 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.270 | $135 | 18h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 76.72 | $0.480 | $36.83 | 18h ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.160 | $240 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.150 | $225 | 1d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 575 | $0.080 | $46 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?No | sell | 196.21 | $0.600 | $117.73 | 3d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.080 | $92 | 3d ago |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?No | buy | 86.45 | $0.303 | $26.19 | 4d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.170 | $306 | 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.260 | $156 | 4d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 187.5 | $0.372 | $69.76 | 5d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | sell | 14.32 | $0.170 | $2.43 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | sell | 284 | $0.230 | $65.32 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | sell | 464.45 | $0.050 | $23.27 | 8d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.260 | $10.14 | 8d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 1.84K | $0.040 | $73.74 | 9d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.003 | $2.66 | 9d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.417 | $417 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.220 | $440 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.210 | $105 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.137 | $8.22 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.131 | $19 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.066 | $17.62 | 10d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 324 | $0.064 | $20.74 | 10d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 754.89 | $0.026 | $19.61 | 10d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.058 | $14.5 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 810 | $0.180 | $145.8 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.160 | $64 | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 4.95K | $0.110 | $544.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.129 | $12.64 | 10d ago |
 Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | 11d ago |
 Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.007 | $17.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.011 | $22 | 11d ago |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 771.69 | $0.017 | $13.12 | 11d ago |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.060 | $105.06 | 11d ago |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.087 | $43.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.114 | $114 | 11d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.369 | $258.3 | 12d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.365 | $91.25 | 12d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.570 | $1.18K | 12d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.170 | $170 | 12d ago |