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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30? | Yes | 16.19 | $0.723 | $16 | +$4.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | sell | 6.31 | $0.850 | $5.36 | 1h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 11.1 |
| $0.188 |
| $10.66 |
| +$8.57 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | Yes | 11.3 | $0.522 | $9.21 | +$3.31 |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.865 | $8.35 | -$0.3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 11.8 | $0.676 | $8.26 | +$0.29 |
 Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? | Yes | 21.36 | $0.360 | $8.01 | +$0.32 |
 Will SER hold 56-58 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | No | 10 | $0.775 | $8 | +$0.25 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.22 | $0.395 | $7.88 | +$1.08 |
 Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | No | 11.44 | $0.649 | $7.41 | -$0.01 |
 Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 12.36 | $0.376 | $6.98 | +$2.33 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 9.44 | $0.750 | $6.7 | -$0.38 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $6.11 | -$3.89 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 6.94 | $0.830 | $5.86 | +$0.1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.16 | $0.823 | $5.76 | +$0.69 |
 Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September? | No | 6.35 | $0.750 | $5.4 | +$0.64 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December? | No | 7.18 | $0.730 | $5.28 | +$0.04 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.14 | $0.560 | $5.26 | +$0.14 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? | No | 5.76 | $0.830 | $5.15 | +$0.37 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 5.85 | $0.850 | $5.06 | +$0.09 |
 Will Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen win the Falealili 1 by-election? | No | 4.99 | $0.870 | $4.87 | +$0.53 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? | No | 6.61 | $0.680 | $4.86 | +$0.36 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | No | 6.07 | $0.590 | $4.85 | +$1.27 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.77 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | $0 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | Yes | 5 | $0.865 | $4.74 | +$0.42 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.250 |
| $1.25 |
| 1h ago |
| Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 21.36 | $0.360 | $7.69 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.150 | $0.46 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | sell | 13.8 | $0.130 | $1.79 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | 3h ago |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.650 | $3.43 | 6h ago |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 7.73 | $0.640 | $4.95 | 6h ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.8 | $0.428 | $3.34 | 7h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.910 | $4.66 | 8h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.850 | $4.55 | 8h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 8h ago |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.210 | $1.14 | 15h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.542 | $2.8 | 16h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 8?Yes | sell | 5.4 | $0.920 | $4.97 | 17h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 8?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 17h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 8?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.760 | $3.95 | 18h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 8?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.760 | $3.96 | 18h ago |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.18 | $0.220 | $1.14 | 19h ago |
 Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2026 NFC West?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.330 | $1.7 | 20h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.270 | $1.4 | 23h ago |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 3?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.819 | $6.51 | 1d ago |
 Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Yes | sell | 6.4 | $0.700 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.720 | $3.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.648 | $4.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.650 | $3.27 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.700 | $3.59 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.280 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.560 | $2.9 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.21 | $0.480 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 1d ago |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.490 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.210 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.210 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Yes | sell | 5.68 | $0.680 | $3.86 | 1d ago |
 Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.690 | $4.6 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.53 | $0.830 | $4.59 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 8?No | sell | 7.28 | $0.630 | $4.59 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 8?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.690 | $5.03 | 1d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 14.04 | $0.260 | $3.65 | 1d ago |
 Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.820 | $4.09 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 8?No | sell | 11.53 | $0.620 | $7.15 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 8?No | buy | 11.53 | $0.660 | $7.61 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 1d ago |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 1d ago |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 1d ago |