Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026? | Yes | 25.5 | $0.060 | $1.95 | +$0.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.270 | $1.65 | 17m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.77 |
| $0.080 |
| $1.93 |
| +$1.55 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | No | 7.05 | $0.250 | $1.76 | $0 |
 Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | No | 6.05 | $0.279 | $1.75 | +$0.06 |
 Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? | No | 6.74 | $0.260 | $1.74 | -$0.01 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September? | No | 3.53 | $0.130 | $1.71 | +$1.25 |
 Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | Yes | 6.04 | $0.300 | $1.66 | -$0.15 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m? | Yes | 14.28 | $0.110 | $1.64 | +$0.07 |
 Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.35 | $0.200 | $1.02 | +$0.35 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17.78 | $0.090 | $0.97 | -$0.63 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | Yes | 95.01 | $0.020 | $0.62 | -$1.28 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | Yes | 147 | $0.010 | $0.59 | -$0.88 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.09 | $0.270 | $0.53 | +$0.24 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 13.16 | $0.130 | $0.49 | -$1.22 |
 Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.42 | $0.140 | $0.49 | -$0.13 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.8 | $0.240 | $0.43 | -$1.2 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | Yes | 38.5 | $0.040 | $0.4 | -$1.14 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | No | 3.72 | $0.150 | $0.39 | -$0.17 |
 Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3.3 | $0.200 | $0.38 | -$0.28 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 10? | Yes | 4.99 | $0.080 | $0.37 | -$0.03 |
 Will HBO Max win the most Emmys? | Yes | 13.01 | $0.120 | $0.31 | -$1.25 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.76 | $0.300 | $0.27 | -$0.26 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 3.28 | $0.210 | $0.25 | -$0.44 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m? | Yes | 38.75 | $0.040 | $0.23 | -$1.32 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.56 | $0.043 | $0.19 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 7.35 |
| $0.207 |
| $1.52 |
| 4h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 7h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.380 | $2.28 | 12h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.360 | $2.19 | 12h ago |
 Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.296 | $2.43 | 12h ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.200 | $1.22 | 13h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | sell | 7.08 | $0.390 | $2.76 | 23h ago |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?No | sell | 10.32 | $0.070 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 9.65 | $0.149 | $1.44 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.130 | $1.82 | 1d ago |
 Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?No | sell | 11.66 | $0.069 | $0.8 | 1d ago |
 Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 16.06 | $0.010 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.151 | $1.53 | 1d ago |
 Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.150 | $0.22 | 1d ago |
 Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes | sell | 15.5 | $0.066 | $1.03 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | 2d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Yes | sell | 6.18 | $0.080 | $0.49 | 2d ago |
 Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 14.55 | $0.130 | $1.89 | 2d ago |
 Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?No | sell | 6.6 | $0.330 | $2.18 | 2d ago |
 Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?No | sell | 15.67 | $0.045 | $0.71 | 2d ago |
 Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?Yes | sell | 64.34 | $0.010 | $0.64 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.249 | $1.52 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.100 | $0.6 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 30.2 | $0.040 | $1.21 | 3d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 9.94 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 3d ago |
 Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.330 | $0.42 | 3d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.73 | $0.120 | $1.77 | 3d ago |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?No | sell | 53.1 | $0.030 | $1.59 | 3d ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.075 | $0.51 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | sell | 10.11 | $0.120 | $1.21 | 4d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.7 | $0.070 | $0.47 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 8.9 | $0.100 | $0.89 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.100 | $0.74 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.070 | $0.42 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.200 | $1.49 | 4d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 6.37 | $0.460 | $2.93 | 4d ago |
 Will "Onslaught" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 10.19 | $0.005 | $0.05 | 4d ago |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?No | sell | 10 | $0.365 | $3.65 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.100 | $0.65 | 4d ago |
 Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Yes | sell | 9.94 | $0.160 | $1.59 | 4d ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.260 | $1.66 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?No | sell | 14.4 | $0.130 | $1.87 | 5d ago |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No | sell | 7.87 | $0.200 | $1.57 | 5d ago |
| Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 18.11 | $0.050 | $0.91 | 5d ago |
 Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?No | sell | 26.17 | $0.068 | $1.78 | 6d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 3.65 | $0.003 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.66 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.89 | $0.004 | $0.07 | 6d ago |