Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.748 | $2.57K | +$320.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 102.58 | $0.160 | $16.41 | 10h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| $0.844 |
| $2.19K |
| +$77.51 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1.5K | $0.833 | $1.3K | +$48.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.2K | $0.650 | $1K | -$428.99 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 999.99 | $0.962 | $983.49 | +$21.5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.910 | $935 | +$25 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.730 | $912.13 | +$142.36 |
 Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors? | Yes | 730.76 | $0.826 | $694.59 | +$90.9 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.695 | $567 | +$150 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 800 | $0.653 | $540 | +$17.87 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.890 | $462.5 | +$17.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 600 | $0.652 | $447 | +$56 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 500 | $0.824 | $432.5 | +$20.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.797 | $338.8 | +$19.8 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 350 | $0.860 | $323.75 | +$22.75 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 325 | $0.876 | $312.65 | +$27.95 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.594 | $262.5 | -$34.5 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 321.72 | $0.725 | $255.77 | +$22.37 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 300 | $0.830 | $241.5 | -$7.5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.167 | $232.49 | -$18.5 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 402.77 | $0.599 | $227.57 | -$13.71 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 550.03 | $0.456 | $214.51 | -$36.36 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.630 | $193.5 | +$4.5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 212.5 | $0.849 | $181.69 | +$1.19 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $173 | +$13 |
| buy |
| 241.01 |
| $0.050 |
| $12.05 |
| 16h ago |
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | buy | 103.95 | $0.240 | $24.95 | 19h ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 21h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.046 | $2.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes | buy | 104.05 | $0.220 | $22.89 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.33 | $0.628 | $69.92 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 25 | $0.876 | $21.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.232 | $46.43 | 1d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | 1d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Yes | buy | 267.01 | $0.015 | $4.01 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 55.1 | $0.019 | $1.07 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 103.56 | $0.138 | $14.29 | 3d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 434.71 | $0.052 | $22.69 | 5d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.131 | $13.1 | 5d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.006 | $2.4 | 6d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 182.2 | $0.057 | $10.44 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.36 | $0.320 | $4.28 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 247.85 | $0.410 | $101.62 | 8d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 151.26 | $0.460 | $69.58 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 161 | $0.430 | $69.23 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.350 | $29.4 | 9d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 102.77 | $0.460 | $47.27 | 10d ago |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 103.57 | $0.310 | $32.11 | 10d ago |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.990 | $495 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Yes | buy | 137.75 | $0.500 | $68.88 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 135 | $0.400 | $54 | 13d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 213.28 | $0.110 | $23.46 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 564.21 | $0.730 | $411.87 | 14d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 508.12 | $0.222 | $112.79 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 239.28 | $0.730 | $174.67 | 14d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 239.28 | $0.170 | $40.68 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 251 | $0.730 | $183.23 | 14d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 251 | $0.160 | $40.16 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.500 | $17 | 16d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.340 | $7.14 | 16d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.006 | $1.26 | 16d ago |
| Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan EstevezAndrej Nedic | sell | 99.99 | $0.139 | $13.9 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | 16d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.600 | $119.99 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.995 | $0.24 | 18d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 28.97 | $0.660 | $19.12 | 19d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | 19d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.597 | $2.99 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.055 | $6.05 | 20d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No | sell | 100 | $0.659 | $65.92 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.92 | $0.072 | $0.64 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | 23d ago |