Analytics
Yes is at 30.4%, down 27 points from 57% when the market opened on 9 Jul 2026.
Across the 105 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 94% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 13.1% on 25 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27.8%; a month before, 24.4%. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 94% on 15 Jul 2026.
$37.1 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $62.34K since listing. The order book holds $23.79K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.95K bought Yes and $1.96K bought No; the largest was a $1.3K buy of No at 76.4¢.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is Fulgurator with 7.1K. Ten wallets hold 79.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 9 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | 57.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fulgurator | No | 7.09K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 3.09K |
| whig | No | 1.71K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-state-enact-a-data-center-moratorium-by-december-31-20260707003733282
| Flamboyant-Warming |
| Yes |
| 1.16K |
| lissartter | Yes | 1.04K |
| iadme | Yes | 1.04K |
| 0xzipper | Yes | 865.86 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 740.39 |
| variant1.meta | Yes | 434.46 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 347.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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