Analytics
Yes is at 27%, up 7 points from 20% at 26 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Across 17 price reads from 26 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, the highest read was 30% on 27 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC and the lowest 9.5% on 27 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC.
November 19 is the favourite of the 12 outcomes in “Anthropic IPO Date”, ahead of November 20 at 24%.
$3.58K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.6K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is balthazar with 365 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 477. Ten wallets hold 93.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 20 Nov 2026, 24 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 8:21 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 26 Oct, 23:00 UTC – 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct, 23:00 UTC | 20.0% |
| 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 29.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 476.52 |
| balthazar | Yes | 365.3 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 192.64 |
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-date
| mewmew1 | Yes | 146.29 |
| AiBird | No | 121.9 |
| flyingkite | No | 111.91 |
| myfrenda | No | 103 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 100 |
| lissartter | No | 51.33 |
| Dr-x666 | Yes | 47.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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