Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 16 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 24.5% on 5 Jun 2026. $325.16K traded over the market's life.
105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 10:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 35.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| moonlore | Yes | 27.83K |
| banana-fruit | Yes | 14.09K |
| Golden Orbit ABFD | Yes | 6.25K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
New to prediction markets?
| Vapid-Turf | Yes | 5.51K |
| vichudo | Yes | 2.73K |
| MOXX99 | Yes | 2.58K |
| ohyewegetting | Yes | 1.29K |
| WickRick | Yes | 1.25K |
| mixedmut | Yes | 1.13K |
| collectorr | Yes | 1.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
