Analytics
Yes is at 55%, down 15 points from 70% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 30 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 74%; a month before, 23.5%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 67.5% on 8 Oct 2026.
$3.01K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $131.6, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $439.37 bought Yes and $187.26 bought No.
The largest Yes position is BUNCL12 with 262 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 180. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 70.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 55.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BUNCL12 | Yes | 262.32 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 180.23 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 53.83 |
The 2026 Formula 1 season runs from March 2026 through the final race in Abu Dhabi, scheduled for December 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alix Earle attends any Formula 1 Grand Prix race from market creation until the end of the 2026 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 F1 season is canceled or all remaining races are postponed beyond December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during the race itself on race day. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-alix-earle-attend-an-f1-race-in-2026-20260728202933346
| lokmjgb |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| bgtdasd | Yes | 50 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 44.2 |
| pppnn | No | 40 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 20 |
| maomao228 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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