Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 57% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 17 Aug 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 57% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 96.5% on 7 Aug 2026. $25.3K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 17 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 57.0% |
| 17 Aug 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | No | 8.84K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 783.11 |
| Geromi | No | 162.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/flavio-bolsonaro-vp-candidate-20260803145529
Start here: the 25 October runoff, the polls, the Polymarket odds and the results, in one guide.
Why a candidate's poll share and market price measure different things, and how to read them side by side.
When the count begins on 25 October, and where the electoral court publishes the official results.
| No |
| 125 |
| balthazar | No | 52.2 |
| sirjhow01 | No | 50 |
| richyee | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 30 |
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