Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 93.8%, up 32 points from 61.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
The high was 96.7% on 22 Sep 2026 and the low 54% on 11 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 88.1%; a month ago, 67%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 69.9% on 25 Sep 2026.
Alexia Putellas is the favourite of the 20 outcomes in “Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026”, ahead of Ewa Pajor at 3.1%.
$1.7K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $31.38K since listing. The order book holds $24.72K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 306 trades, $11.28K bought Yes and $787.2 bought No; the largest was a $5.75K buy of Yes at 88.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Parz1vaI with 6.9K shares; the largest No position is troim with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 84.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 14 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 61.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 93.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaI | Yes | 6.88K |
| troim | No | 2.58K |
| Socialista | No | 1.51K |
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-winner-2026
8 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| oral.kite5633 |
| Yes |
| 990.43 |
| rainbowlilies | No | 908.35 |
| Jopol | Yes | 759.73 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 686.3 |
| cosmicsteaks | No | 589.43 |
| StarMaster | Yes | 500 |
| Digital-Boy | No | 435 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page