Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 24% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 13.8% on 11 Sep 2026. $2.54K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 24.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.52K |
| Immediate-Eye | Yes | 1.8K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 854.75 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 653 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/womens-ballon-dor-winner-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| balthazar | Yes | 433.5 |
| merod | Yes | 198 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 100 |
| Decent-Corporal | Yes | 100 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 60 |
