Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 57% on 25 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 25 Dec 2025 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 57% on 25 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 97.9% on 26 Dec 2025. $25.22K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 25 Dec 2025 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Dec 2025 | 57.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 99.7% |
6 more markets, none above 16.0%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUADANHAO | No | 5K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 232 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 218 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date. Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-artists-will-release-new-albums-in-2026
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 114 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 77 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 48 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 40 |
| Evador | No | 23.3 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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