What is the “Will a hurricane form by August 31?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will a hurricane form by August 31? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between August 15 and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by August 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until September 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($43.68K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
$22.71K
No sell at 99.3%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Sep 1, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 473 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Vultax loaded 21 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 95.8% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 4, 2:42 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-form-by-august-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
