Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 85% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 85% on 16 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 10.5% on 25 Aug 2025. $43.68K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 4, 2:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 85.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gopfan2 | Yes | 998.23 |
| vLd | Yes | 255.75 |
| Gozadordelarosada | Yes | 172 |
| zunshun | Yes | 114.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between August 15 and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by August 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until September 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-form-by-august-31
| qwertzu | Yes | 100 |
| lissartter | Yes | 74.07 |
| dotanno | Yes | 62.38 |
| pandorum2515 | Yes | 43.08 |
| SackMAN10 | Yes | 32.88 |
| SANYO | Yes | 28.95 |
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