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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | sell | 61.13 | $0.964 | $58.93 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 38.48 |
| $0.880 |
| $33.86 |
| Sep 25, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 60.95 | $0.372 | $22.68 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 93 | $0.150 | $13.95 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?Yes | sell | 136.56 | $0.010 | $1.37 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.670 | $0.29 | Aug 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | sell | 91.84 | $0.112 | $10.3 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | sell | 50.13 | $0.460 | $23.06 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.670 | $2.09 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | sell | 5.52 | $0.700 | $3.86 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.110 | $1.22 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.480 | $1.6 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?No | buy | 20.13 | $0.150 | $3.02 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 43.35 | $0.670 | $29.04 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Yoon out of custody in 2025?Yes | sell | 271.99 | $0.090 | $24.48 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Yoon out of custody in 2025?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.110 | $30 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.510 | $0.96 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?No | sell | 48.7 | $0.480 | $23.38 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 3.32 | $0.600 | $1.99 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.069 | $2.18 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 90.33 | $0.320 | $28.91 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | sell | 76 | $0.365 | $27.77 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | sell | 15.18 | $0.900 | $13.66 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.230 | $1.67 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?No | sell | 9.75 | $0.890 | $8.68 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.759 | $1.53 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by August 31?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.720 | $3.3 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.690 | $14.78 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended by August 31?No | sell | 2.51 | $0.700 | $1.76 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 56.89 | $0.370 | $21.05 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 125.99 | $0.390 | $49.14 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump attend Hulk Hogan's funeral?No | sell | 49.18 | $0.690 | $33.93 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | sell | 82.63 | $0.210 | $17.35 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Yoon out of custody in 2025?No | sell | 0.83 | $0.890 | $0.74 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 0.57 | $0.600 | $0.34 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.985 | $0.19 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.170 | $0.03 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | sell | 4.35 | $0.720 | $3.13 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | sell | 9 | $0.750 | $6.75 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 1.5%?No | sell | 18.15 | $0.977 | $17.73 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.795 | $15.9 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 1.5%?No | sell | 30.73 | $0.977 | $30.02 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk with Brazil president in July?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.511 | $1.76 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.760 | $1.61 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.880 | $1.9 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.690 | $18.64 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?No | sell | 56.88 | $0.429 | $24.42 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.790 | $15.8 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.380 | $29.64 | Jul 28, 2025 |