What is the “Who will win Bucks county?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Who will win Bucks county? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will win each swing district?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This is a market on the outcome of elections in key swing districts that could determine control of Congress.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($26.65K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 5 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
$14.24K
Trump buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Dec 5, 12:00 AM
Points
77
Move
-56 pts
Range
0.5% - 85.0%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM to Dec 5, 12:00 AM
Dec 2, 12:00 AM
12.4%
12.4%
Dec 1, 12:00 AM
12.4%
12.4%
Nov 30, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Nov 29, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Nov 28, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Nov 27, 12:00 AM
0.5%
0.5%
Nov 26, 12:00 AM
20.9%
20.9%
Nov 25, 12:00 AM
10.8%
10.8%
Nov 24, 12:00 AM
15.8%
15.8%
Nov 23, 12:00 AM
17.8%
17.8%
Nov 22, 12:00 AM
12.8%
12.8%
Nov 21, 12:00 AM
21.8%
21.8%
Nov 20, 12:00 AM
17.1%
17.1%
Nov 19, 12:00 AM
52.0%
52.0%
Nov 18, 12:00 AM
51.5%
51.5%
Nov 17, 12:00 AM
51.5%
51.5%
Nov 16, 12:00 AM
51.1%
51.1%
Nov 15, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 14, 12:00 AM
24.4%
24.4%
Nov 13, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 12, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 11, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 10, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 9, 12:00 AM
50.5%
50.5%
Nov 8, 12:00 AM
52.5%
52.5%
Nov 7, 12:00 AM
52.5%
52.5%
Nov 6, 12:00 AM
85.0%
85.0%
Nov 5, 12:00 AM
68.5%
68.5%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM
70.0%
70.0%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM
73.0%
73.0%
Nov 2, 12:00 AM
77.0%
77.0%
Nov 1, 12:00 AM
61.5%
61.5%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM
64.5%
64.5%
Oct 30, 12:00 AM
61.0%
61.0%
Oct 29, 12:00 AM
64.5%
64.5%
Oct 28, 12:00 AM
66.5%
66.5%
Oct 27, 12:00 AM
67.5%
67.5%
Oct 26, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Oct 24, 12:00 AM
62.0%
62.0%
Oct 23, 12:00 AM
66.0%
66.0%
Oct 22, 12:00 AM
71.0%
71.0%
Oct 21, 12:00 AM
67.5%
67.5%
Oct 20, 12:00 AM
73.0%
73.0%
Oct 19, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Oct 18, 12:00 AM
75.5%
75.5%
Oct 17, 12:00 AM
74.0%
74.0%
Oct 16, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Oct 15, 12:00 AM
77.5%
77.5%
Oct 14, 12:00 AM
79.0%
79.0%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM
77.5%
77.5%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM
77.5%
77.5%
Oct 11, 12:00 AM
78.0%
78.0%
Oct 10, 12:00 AM
76.5%
76.5%
Oct 9, 12:00 AM
79.0%
79.0%
Oct 8, 12:00 AM
80.5%
80.5%
Oct 7, 12:00 AM
74.0%
74.0%
Oct 6, 12:00 AM
75.0%
75.0%
Oct 5, 12:00 AM
75.0%
75.0%
Oct 4, 12:00 AM
81.0%
81.0%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM
82.5%
82.5%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM
80.0%
80.0%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM
74.0%
74.0%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM
76.5%
76.5%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM
76.5%
76.5%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM
76.0%
76.0%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM
71.0%
71.0%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM
70.0%
70.0%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM
66.0%
66.0%
Maricopa, AZ (Phoenix)Who will win Maricopa county?
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 6, 5:31 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-bucks-county) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.