Analytics
Resolved Trump on 22 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Trump at 100%. The Harris side opened at 44% on 20 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2024 to 22 Nov 2024, the highest close was 60% on 23 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 47.5% on 24 Oct 2024. $20.44K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 5:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Harris price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 20 Sep 2024 – 22 Nov 2024
| Observed | Harris price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2024 | 44.0% |
| 22 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kingfisher | Harris | 270.99 |
| NLo | Harris | 6.12 |
| ken23 | Harris | 1.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Pinellas county, FL, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Pinellas county vote tally.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/swing-districts-2024
| Trump |
| 1 |
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