
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 18 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 18 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 3.3% on 29 Jun 2026. $6.64K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 18 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jun 2026 | 40.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260616212816384
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 14.99 |
| Old-Comma | Yes | 13.03 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| PPMT | Yes | 5 |
| 67sfds | Yes | 3.4 |
| Ploang | Yes | 1.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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