Analytics
The Thomas Petersen side is at 61.5%, up 2 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 59.5% on 2 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)”.
$397.81 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $9.6K since listing. The order book holds $24.49K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 51 trades, $580.61 bought Thomas Petersen and $1.33K bought Gabriel Lorenço; the largest was a $1.52K sell of Thomas Petersen at 61.0¢.
The largest Thomas Petersen position is n.jordanov with 700 shares; the largest Gabriel LorençO position is Kuntro2 with 438. Ten wallets hold 74.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Thomas Petersen price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 54%–66%
| Observed | Thomas Petersen price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 59.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 61.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| n.jordanov | Thomas Petersen | 699.99 |
| WALLYFIGHTS | Thomas Petersen | 525.13 |
| Kuntro2 | Gabriel LorençO | 437.98 |
This market will resolve to "Thomas Petersen" if Thomas Petersen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Gabriel Lorenço" if Gabriel Lorenço is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tho4-gablou-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
| DurchdenHandelstimmstdu | Gabriel LorençO | 300 |
| 0x67bet | Gabriel LorençO | 291.39 |
| Nanika | Gabriel LorençO | 221.99 |
| leflaive | Gabriel LorençO | 200 |
| ogalphamemer | Thomas Petersen | 126.62 |
| Coral Summit EFDE | Gabriel LorençO | 107.15 |
| Swift Signal F1D2 | Thomas Petersen | 97.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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