Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, down 14 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 4 Nov 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 6 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 37.5% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)”.
$38.46 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.42K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VeryLucky888 with 38 shares; the largest No position is Tradersamzy with 38.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 38.46 |
| Tradersamzy | No | 38.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thomas Petersen and Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tho4-gablou-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
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