Analytics
Yes is at 29.5%, down 21 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 29% on 6 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $1.76K, with a 41.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 29.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thomas Petersen defeats Gabriel Lorenço at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tho4-gablou-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
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