Analytics
Yes is at 35.5%, down 15 points from 50% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 50% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 35% on 6 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Gabriel Lorenço (Heavyweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $2.21K, with a 29.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 35.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel Lorenço defeats Thomas Petersen at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tho4-gablou-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 28.5%.
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