Analytics
Yes is at 50.5%, about where the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 50%. The current quote, 50.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 27 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $3.92, with a 94.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 5:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-tom14-2026-10-31
15 more markets, none above 50.0%.
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