Analytics
Yes is at 5.2%, down 38 points from 43% when the market opened on 13 Dec 2025.
Across the 291 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (32 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 13 Dec 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.8%; a month before, 5.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 13% on 14 Dec 2025.
$55 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $21.52K since listing. The order book holds $12.18K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $246.18 bought Yes and $5.79K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Threadbare-Signal with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is archaic with 1.9K. Ten wallets hold 82.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 291 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 43.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Threadbare-Signal | Yes | 1.93K |
| archaic | No | 1.85K |
| Zarshka | No | 259.98 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Félix Tshisekedi ceases to be President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Félix Tshisekedi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Félix Tshisekedi and the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tshisekedi-out-as-president-of-the-drc-by-end-of-2026
| Ashamed-Sentiment |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 191.17 |
| Zero10 | Yes | 146.48 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 118.21 |
| Golden Signal D11F | No | 109.73 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 99.99 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 98.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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