Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 29 Sep 2026, the highest close was 69.5% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 52.5% on 29 Sep 2026. $179.66K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 10:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 29 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 54.5% |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SusanWarrenHR | No | 2.88K |
| InnovationEdu | No | 1.36K |
| 1nvoker1 | No | 1.28K |
| cambridgeisaac | No | 1.27K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-ai-by-september-30
| pieped | No | 1.16K |
| MisTKy | No | 1.02K |
| 7153649820 | No | 1K |
| troim | No | 999.99 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | No | 558 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 513.03 |
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