Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Name: Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Jan 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.1M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 20, 2025 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
TrumpIsPeace	Yes	492.48K	7.6%	$37.25K
Compassionate-Smog	Yes	44.55K	9.5%	$4.23K
Syniak	Yes	20.46K	8.1%	$1.66K
lifechanger2024	Yes	18.32K	5.2%	$946.38
ShrimpyMcLovin	Yes	14.81K	7.0%	$1.04K
MartianGangster	Yes	13.8K	9.3%	$1.28K
Kriptn33	Yes	12.14K	4.6%	$561.98
olp	Yes	11.05K	10.4%	$1.15K
AdrianRO	Yes	10.95K	0.9%	$99.99
hghhh.	Yes	10.5K	0.8%	$80.76
WilL	Yes	10K	10.1%	$1.01K
BM-FRG	Yes	8.55K	7.3%	$623.99
LightShine17	Yes	8.37K	0.7%	$55.53	Jan 20, 1:37 AM UTC
Mx001	Yes	6.96K	8.1%	$560.73
Recent-Homogenate	Yes	6.78K	4.9%	$329.29
MoriKori	Yes	6.25K	11.2%	$700.2
SperglordiusXVIII	Yes	5.81K	7.5%	$438.96
Melvinwilar	Yes	4.8K	2.1%	$100
igolyb727	Yes	4.64K	8.0%	$371.51
MrShelbySz	Yes	4K	0.6%	$24
pnads23	Yes	3.8K	11.0%	$418
DevRaynor	Yes	3.6K	13.1%	$471.43
lix	Yes	3.34K	2.8%	$92.21
Infantile-Block	Yes	2.78K	10.9%	$304.13
Reason-685	Yes	2.67K	1.9%	$50
Pinback	Yes	2.52K	22.9%	$578.08
Draco-Stormborn	Yes	1.94K	16.0%	$310
AshAgarwal	Yes	1.82K	11.0%	$200
Denisov	Yes	1.65K	17.0%	$280.07
Thorough-Conclusion	Yes	1.52K	16.9%	$256.95
Marvin.peso	Yes	1.4K	3.5%	$49.59
Trustworthy-Godmother	Yes	1.11K	17.0%	$189
PTCRN	Yes	1.11K	9.0%	$100
dolar	Yes	1.08K	3.9%	$41.8
paarug	Yes	1.02K	10.1%	$102.96
Super-Redhead	Yes	1K	16.0%	$160
shycoolguy	Yes	953.33	18.0%	$171.6
Absolutmike	Yes	882.89	17.9%	$157.92
Qomen	Yes	750	14.0%	$105
sunnyday9f97	Yes	745.88	7.0%	$52.21
pierrebonel	Yes	666.67	15.0%	$100
Arg	Yes	625	8.0%	$50
julianbp	Yes	605.63	11.7%	$70.88
SarynSage	Yes	588.24	17.0%	$100
gorlovka	No	565.35	93.0%	$525.78
VladimirDubrovskiy	Yes	555.56	18.0%	$100
Bogr	Yes	544.26	2.2%	$12.05
evbdv.pub	Yes	503.8	9.9%	$50
George88	Yes	500	10.0%	$50
VictoryForEternity	Yes	470	17.0%	$79.9
CathayCoof	Yes	384.62	13.0%	$50
TyrenFenris	Yes	357.14	1.4%	$5
babyshaak	No	345.32	86.9%	$300
oculur	Yes	340.96	14.7%	$50
Nick778	Yes	331.11	9.0%	$29.8
Lazy-Margin	Yes	289.74	7.8%	$22.46
Bodecker	Yes	287.27	10.7%	$30.8
gdime	Yes	281.52	7.1%	$19.98
SevenTeam	Yes	274.38	8.0%	$21.95
Jerm.	Yes	266.23	13.0%	$34.61
alsahim	Yes	258.01	18.0%	$46.36
Amic	Yes	249.51	16.4%	$41
IvanFalco	Yes	246.23	10.9%	$26.8
ArthT	Yes	218.27	15.0%	$32.74
Wb8	Yes	200	8.0%	$16
Wormak	Yes	200	1.5%	$3
Shamsur	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
DeniseBlack	Yes	196.47	1.7%	$3.34
Torby.pm	Yes	183.5	8.0%	$14.68
pixonzz	Yes	168.23	7.3%	$12.26
ICoinflipAllBetsL9	Yes	162.5	8.0%	$13
MMMEM	Yes	146.77	1.4%	$2
PogueOne	Yes	139.88	17.0%	$23.78
michaelbai	No	136.95	85.0%	$116.41
Gaet2get	Yes	125	1.6%	$2
EdiAng	Yes	125	8.0%	$10
calebj775	Yes	125	12.0%	$15
Kalen123	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
luck555	Yes	125	16.0%	$20
Stepenwolf	Yes	118.18	11.0%	$13
lemon5401	Yes	117.65	17.0%	$20
prof7bit	No	112.22	89.1%	$100
peterxingularity	Yes	111.11	9.0%	$10
Davidio	Yes	101	10.0%	$10.1
Raven333	Yes	100	7.0%	$7
Narrow-Lychee	Yes	100	11.0%	$11
WoainenJ	Yes	100	1.6%	$1.6
jane4567	Yes	100	18.0%	$18
Graceful-Enigma	Yes	100	16.0%	$16
Strange Loop	No	100	87.0%	$87
A8585	No	90.7	86.0%	$78
naofazmal	Yes	88.89	9.0%	$8
Vitaha	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
ChillinVillainn	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
jimmysausages	Yes	71.43	7.0%	$5
mr.calculated	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
Nacko	Yes	71.43	7.0%	$5
Teuf	Yes	70	15.0%	$10.5
Sentimental-Composite	Yes	69.23	13.0%	$9
apek	Yes	66.67	15.0%	$10
Ryukl	Yes	65.8	15.0%	$9.87
Kooky-Massage	Yes	62.5	16.0%	$10
UPUPBOYS	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
HideoKojima69	Yes	62.5	8.0%	$5
dpname	Yes	61.13	15.0%	$9.17
Lanov	Yes	59	14.8%	$8.75
insidethecircle	Yes	58.82	17.0%	$10
i_said_meh	Yes	58.82	17.0%	$10
cashflowsolutions	Yes	58.82	17.0%	$10
adsfasdfasdfsa	No	58.62	87.0%	$51
CVGF	No	55.84	98.5%	$55
SebEck	Yes	55.56	9.0%	$5
allencomstock	No	55	92.0%	$50.6
Namee1	Yes	50	12.0%	$6
ANDREEA13	Yes	50	10.0%	$5
Clasemann	Yes	45.45	11.0%	$5
MarioBenito	Yes	45.45	11.0%	$5
sweetsnail	Yes	40	15.0%	$6
atv	Yes	35	6.0%	$2.1
Avalanches	Yes	33.33	15.0%	$5
Staraviuss	No	31.95	87.0%	$27.8
mixvilla	Yes	31	15.0%	$4.65
Discr3d	Yes	30	17.0%	$5.1
FinnessePickle	Yes	28.88	8.0%	$2.31
AVG	No	25.76	99.6%	$25.66
holymoly322	Yes	25	10.0%	$2.5
upwealth	Yes	25	20.0%	$5
schwemmy	Yes	25	8.0%	$2
Nysysyn	Yes	24.81	16.1%	$4
XeonThi	Yes	20	10.0%	$2
PW1UP	Yes	17.5	8.0%	$1.4
DarkVaDOGE	Yes	16.67	12.0%	$2
adi231	Yes	14.29	14.0%	$2
Yuriii	Yes	14.29	14.0%	$2
mumps	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
Competent-Pen	Yes	13.33	9.0%	$1.2
Jovial-Absence	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
themanager	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
Macroword	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
AgentP	Yes	11.76	17.0%	$2
uptacky	No	11.63	86.0%	$10
swisswood	No	11.36	88.0%	$10
l8173	Yes	11.11	18.0%	$2
Lexfreedman	No	10.85	99.5%	$10.8
Flimsy-Need	No	10.69	96.5%	$10.32
Menacing-Conference	No	10.37	96.5%	$10.01
Bold Kestrel 6D1D	Yes	10	13.0%	$1.3
Spydin	Yes	10	13.0%	$1.3
ZuluIndia17	Yes	10	17.0%	$1.7
Rindli	No	9.2	87.0%	$8
Polichka	Yes	8.62	13.0%	$1.12
laDDmi	Yes	8.33	12.0%	$1
HEYOOOO	No	8.04	99.5%	$8
DeMiMi	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
ChibiKiller	No	6.79	87.0%	$5.91
Midein	No	5.38	93.0%	$5
Kiwasi	No	5.06	98.9%	$5
v51	Yes	5	18.0%	$0.9
Yzariongg	Yes	5	20.0%	$1
PolskiPolak69420	Yes	5	15.0%	$0.75
Palatable-Nonconformist	No	4.29	96.5%	$4.14
madefather	No	4.16	98.6%	$4.1
Impish-Canteen	No	3.54	96.5%	$3.42
Corrupt-Transplantation	No	3.23	96.5%	$3.12
Dependent-Feather	No	3.23	96.5%	$3.12
Dependable-Rope	No	2.76	96.5%	$2.66
TheWallstreetPanda	No	2.67	86.0%	$2.3
Sandy-Weekender	No	2.44	98.0%	$2.39
Known-Estate	No	2.38	97.9%	$2.33
Pure-Chafe	No	2.35	96.5%	$2.27
Pleasing-Attribute	No	2.31	98.0%	$2.26
Long-Term-North	No	2.3	96.5%	$2.22
Remorseful-Cellar	No	2.2	97.9%	$2.15
Growing-Sole	No	2.19	96.5%	$2.11
United-Fight	No	2.16	97.9%	$2.11
Embellished-Persimmon	No	2.16	97.9%	$2.11
Shy-Birdbath	No	2.13	96.4%	$2.05
Rushbian34	No	2.11	95.0%	$2
Wavy-Focus	No	2.09	96.5%	$2.02
Unselfish-Dilapidation	No	2.07	96.4%	$2
Ornate-Aglet	No	2.07	98.0%	$2.03
Some-Weekend	No	2.03	96.5%	$1.96
Showy-Circadian	No	2.02	97.8%	$1.98
Joyful-Sentence	No	2.02	96.5%	$1.95
Disloyal-Transformation	No	2.01	97.9%	$1.97
Mad-Sorrow	No	1.98	97.9%	$1.94
Pale-Basin	No	1.98	98.0%	$1.94
Well-Groomed-Pegboard	No	1.97	97.9%	$1.93
Jam-Packed-Methodology	No	1.96	98.0%	$1.92
Distorted-Whistle	No	1.95	98.0%	$1.91
Tricky-Accessory	No	1.94	97.9%	$1.9
Wide-Epauliere	No	1.94	96.5%	$1.87
Sneaky-Kangaroo	No	1.92	97.8%	$1.88
Monumental-Strawberry	No	1.92	97.8%	$1.88
Hard-Nightlight	No	1.9	97.8%	$1.86
Handy-Execution	No	1.9	96.5%	$1.83
Worst-Rose	No	1.89	97.9%	$1.85
Visible-Fender	No	1.89	98.0%	$1.85
Ample-Policeman	No	1.86	98.0%	$1.82
Steep-Vengeance	No	1.85	97.9%	$1.81
Ultimate-Metric	No	1.84	97.8%	$1.8
High-Printer	No	1.83	98.0%	$1.79
Favorite-Softball	No	1.81	96.5%	$1.75
Relieved-Seminar	No	1.81	97.8%	$1.77
Qualified-Vitality	No	1.8	98.0%	$1.76
Chilly-Heat	No	1.78	97.9%	$1.74
Adept-Seal	No	1.78	98.0%	$1.74
Descriptive-Slice	No	1.76	96.4%	$1.7
Far-Strategy	No	1.76	98.0%	$1.72
Splendid-Execution	No	1.75	97.9%	$1.71
Clueless-Zone	No	1.74	96.5%	$1.68
Tasty-Trust	No	1.73	98.0%	$1.7
Querulous-Bugle	No	1.73	96.4%	$1.67
Petty-Crayon	No	1.72	96.5%	$1.66
Inexperienced-Ruler	No	1.71	98.0%	$1.68
Idolized-Beef	No	1.7	96.4%	$1.64
Conscious-Pause	No	1.68	98.0%	$1.65
Limp-Med	No	1.66	96.5%	$1.6
Solid-Head	No	1.64	98.0%	$1.61
Vibrant-Pasta	No	1.63	96.4%	$1.57
Negligible-Amenity	No	1.63	97.8%	$1.59
Klutzy-Maternity	No	1.61	98.0%	$1.58
Used-Blocker	No	1.59	98.0%	$1.56
Grounded-Hunger	No	1.58	98.0%	$1.55
Marvelous-Straw	No	1.56	96.5%	$1.51
Tasty-Chest	No	1.56	97.8%	$1.53
Well-Off-Id	No	1.51	96.5%	$1.46
Critical-Compulsion	No	1.49	97.9%	$1.46
Spiteful-Conspirator	No	1.47	96.5%	$1.42
Tempting-Dysfunction	No	1.46	96.5%	$1.41
Shimmering-Avenue	No	1.46	97.9%	$1.43
Cheery-Many	No	1.46	97.9%	$1.43
Soggy-Emergent	No	1.45	96.4%	$1.4
wertyl	Yes	1.43	7.0%	$0.1
These-Reservoir	No	1.43	98.0%	$1.4
Mysterious-Crush	No	1.42	96.5%	$1.37
Lucky-Pagoda	No	1.39	97.9%	$1.36
Motionless-Mall	No	1.39	96.5%	$1.34
Broken-Failure	No	1.38	96.4%	$1.33
Functional-Max	No	1.37	96.5%	$1.32
Ripe-Bikini	No	1.36	97.9%	$1.33
Apprehensive-Home	No	1.36	97.9%	$1.33
Mountainous-Joke	No	1.36	96.5%	$1.31
Negative-Receipt	No	1.34	96.4%	$1.29
Quizzical-Worshiper	No	1.34	97.9%	$1.31
Light-Blackbird	No	1.33	96.4%	$1.28
Insubstantial-Paperwork	No	1.32	96.4%	$1.27
Jubilant-Morning	No	1.31	97.9%	$1.28
Flamboyant-Tempo	No	1.28	96.4%	$1.23
Humiliating-Agent	No	1.27	96.4%	$1.22
Well-Lit-Bite	No	1.27	98.0%	$1.24
Known-Whey	No	1.26	96.4%	$1.21
Hilarious-Burden	No	1.2	96.5%	$1.16
Unfit-Pith	No	1.19	96.5%	$1.15
ForeignSanny	No	1.19	84.0%	$1
Illustrious-Hepatitis	No	1.16	96.4%	$1.12
Probable-Terminology	No	1.14	96.4%	$1.1
MayaCuentas	No	1.11	90.0%	$1
Winged-Glow	No	1.11	96.5%	$1.07
pinkzebra22	No	1.09	92.0%	$1
ANU	No	1.08	93.0%	$1
Masculine-Wholesaler	No	1.06	96.5%	$1.02
gersht	No	1.05	94.0%	$0.99
Unripe-Blog	No	1.05	96.4%	$1.01
Rocceo	No	1.04	96.0%	$1
Admired-Accounting	No	1.04	96.4%	$1
Bozicl	No	1.03	96.9%	$1
kimker	No	1.01	98.6%	$1
montbig	No	1.01	98.7%	$1
TymurSav	No	1.01	86.0%	$0.87
FFAa	No	1	98.8%	$0.99
Fred9999-852	Yes	1	12.0%	$0.12
Ricardor	No	0.63	93.0%	$0.59
SergT1214	Yes	0.63	16.0%	$0.1
dogecoins	No	0.46	98.6%	$0.46

275 of 275 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
gorlovka	$565.35
babyshaak	$345.32
michaelbai	$136.95

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