Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 100kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 157.66 | $0.063 | $5.83 | -$4.17 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 313.36 | $0.060 | $18.8 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 857.86 |
| $0.280 |
| $240.2 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.110 | $138.79 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 326.15 | $0.160 | $52.35 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.021 | $32.04 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 302.27 | $0.180 | $54.41 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 594.74 | $0.330 | $196.14 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 195.91 | $0.255 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 800.88 | $0.029 | $22.97 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.086 | $95.55 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 15.05 | $0.193 | $2.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 169.81 | $0.353 | $60 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 89.5 | $0.300 | $26.85 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 72.15 | $0.280 | $20.2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.220 | $110 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | buy | 157.66 | $0.063 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 302.28 | $0.165 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | buy | 684.81 | $0.022 | $15 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.028 | $50 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will EA say "Live Service" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 454.37 | $0.220 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 14?No | buy | 8.16K | $0.012 | $99.9 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 475.92 | $0.210 | $99.94 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 14?No | buy | 3.78K | $0.002 | $7.56 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 14?No | buy | 7.59K | $0.002 | $15.19 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.670 | $22.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?No | buy | 12.49K | $0.009 | $111.4 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 14?No | buy | 25K | $0.001 | $25 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Yes | sell | 237.39 | $0.996 | $236.44 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 191.26 | $0.230 | $43.99 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.02K | $0.022 | $44 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.094 | $245 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.049 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.690 | $345 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 237.4 | $0.895 | $212.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.340 | $212.5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 284.67 | $0.240 | $68.32 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.222 | $252.75 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.400 | $250 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.540 | $500 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?No | buy | 3K | $0.040 | $120 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?No | buy | 107.13 | $0.030 | $3.21 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 140.37 | $0.023 | $3.23 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.038 | $0.23 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 25 | $0.790 | $19.75 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.120 | $20 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 323.96 | $0.795 | $257.48 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 357.57 | $0.611 | $218.48 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 8.43K | $0.029 | $244.4 | Nov 1, 2024 |