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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.7 |
| $0.800 |
| $2.16 |
| Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.018 | $0.03 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.140 | $1.56 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 39.96 | $0.430 | $17.18 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 1.93 | $0.782 | $1.51 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.100 | $0.1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.014 | $0.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.028 | $0.1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.350 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Trump signs national abortion ban?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.038 | $0.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.064 | $0.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.023 | $0.2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?Yes | buy | 10.63 | $0.047 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.008 | $0.08 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.5 | $0.019 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.044 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Trudeau out before April?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.230 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.071 | $0.5 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?No | buy | 7.44 | $0.260 | $1.93 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.312 | $1.56 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.570 | $3.42 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.309 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.350 | $0.5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.044 | $0.5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 67.14 | $0.028 | $1.88 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.233 | $3 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.517 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.156 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 4, 2024 |