Analytics
Yes is at 17.8%, down 30 points from 48% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 29 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.4%; a month before, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 25.5% on 27 Sep 2026.
$427.39 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $46.2, with a 30.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 166 shares; the largest No position is flyingkite with 150.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 5:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 48.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 17.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 166.28 |
| flyingkite | No | 150 |
| Newshound | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. federal court formally holds President Donald J. Trump, or any official, agency, employee, or representative of the Trump administration, in contempt of court in connection with the September 2026 revocation of White House press access for CNN, MS NOW, and/or Politico or a related court order, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Civil or criminal contempt will qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: the filing of a motion for contempt; an order to show cause why a party should not be held in contempt; a finding of probable cause that criminal contempt has occurred; a judge's verbal warning or admonishment; or sanctions, fees, or other relief imposed without a contempt finding. A qualifying contempt finding that is subsequently stayed, vacated, or reversed will still resolve this market to "Yes", provided the finding was issued on or before October 31, 2026. The resolution source will be official federal court records, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-admin-held-in-contempt-over-press-ban-by-october-31
| Wowiwow |
| No |
| 90.71 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 50 |
| pagliacci4 | No | 45.21 |
| baybug | No | 40 |
| litigation | Yes | 22 |
| dognamedreggi | Yes | 16.5 |
| Mr-Krabs | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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