Analytics
Yes is at 45.5%, down 28 points from 73.5% when the market opened on 18 Sep 2026.
Across the 35 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81% on 1 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31% on 24 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65.5%; a month before, 72.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 65.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by ___?”.
$519.84 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.06K since listing. The order book holds $925.15, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $372.11 bought Yes and $379.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 283 shares; the largest No position is Tenebrus7 with 100.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 11:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 18 Sep 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 73.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 45.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 283.38 |
| Tenebrus7 | No | 100 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 78.23 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coinbase makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Coinbase account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock on Coinbase, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Purchases through a self-custodial wallet or a decentralized exchange, including one reached through the Coinbase app, will not count. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Coinbase (https://x.com/coinbase, https://www.coinbase.com/blog); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tokenized-stocks-available-on-coinbase-by
| ZhouCD |
| No |
| 47.51 |
| Haradwaith | No | 40.07 |
| Solar Summit 0A64 | No | 40 |
| FFFF3 | Yes | 35.48 |
| SulkingCrypto | No | 26 |
| KimchiCapital | Yes | 20 |
| labronzee | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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