Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026?

Market referencetemperature-increase-2026-09-28-b2Updated 14m ago

weatherActive

Closes Nov 2, 2026 UTCclimateweather

Yes

11.0%

89.0%

Buy Yes 11¢Buy No 89¢

24h Volume

$2.8K

Liquidity

$311

Closes

Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Yes price

11¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

11.0%

89.0%

24h volume

$2.8K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 11¢

Open in terminal$2.8K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

2m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

16.0%

Observed

14m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

11.0%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

94%

Yes / No shares

2.24K / 2.24K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
balerinacapuchina	buy	No	98.0%	221	Oct 2, 4:29 PM UTC
balerinacapuchina	buy	No

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

balerinacapuchina

buy

98.0%

221

Oct 2, 4:29 PM UTC

balerinacapuchina

buy