Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 44.24K | $0.483 | $32.52K | +$11.14K |
| Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?No | buy | 162 | $0.516 | $83.52 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 184.6 |
| $0.875 |
| $172.88 |
| +$11.31 |
| Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | No | 162 | $0.515 | $136.89 | +$53.37 |
| buy |
| 183 |
| $0.959 |
| $175.44 |
| 3d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 7.36K | $0.720 | $5.3K | 4d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.758 | $2.22K | 5d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 53.63 | $0.876 | $46.98 | 6d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.868 | $164.9 | 6d ago |
| Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?No | buy | 184.6 | $0.875 | $161.56 | 7d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.898 | $449.23 | 8d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.770 | $1.29K | 9d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 145.04 | $0.623 | $90.4 | 12d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 104.75 | $0.014 | $1.46 | 12d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 307.54 | $0.659 | $202.81 | 12d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 403 | $0.780 | $314.34 | 13d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.770 | $898.56 | 13d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 567.11 | $0.721 | $408.94 | 14d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 678.27 | $0.788 | $534.52 | 15d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.739 | $1.23K | 16d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.520 | $91.52 | 17d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 17d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 369.62 | $0.473 | $174.78 | 17d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.230 | $4.62 | 20d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.225 | $19.36 | 20d ago |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.45ºC in August 2026?No | buy | 44.99 | $0.590 | $26.54 | 20d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.723 | $1.56K | 25d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.665 | $705.47 | 27d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4K | $0.730 | $2.92K | 29d ago |
| Will August 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?No | buy | 130 | $0.900 | $117 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 214.28 | $0.850 | $182.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.837 | $1.04K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | sell | 1.89K | $0.028 | $53.15 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.949 | $2.32K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 475.11 | $0.910 | $432.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 581.72 | $0.063 | $36.66 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.880 | $1.55K | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 300.04 | $0.804 | $241.25 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 858.66 | $0.828 | $710.78 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 802.75 | $0.500 | $401.38 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 932.49 | $0.114 | $105.88 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.500 | $551.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.470 | $813.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 430.24 | $0.101 | $43.62 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.757 | $2.27K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | sell | 4.81K | $0.836 | $4.02K | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?No | buy | 769.97 | $0.920 | $708.37 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?Yes | buy | 251.26 | $0.050 | $12.45 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Yes | buy | 863.09 | $0.039 | $33.78 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.73K | $0.082 | $141.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?Down | buy | 1K | $0.176 | $176.32 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Yes | buy | 279.06 | $0.106 | $29.54 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.794 | $2.12K | Jul 22, 2026 |