Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 28% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 31 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 5.5% on 18 Aug 2026. $60.14K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 10:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 31 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 28.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thx4playing | Yes | 800.65 |
| simonshan | Yes | 645.16 |
| jotziflash | Yes | 600 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify. Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/situational-awareness-raises-new-capital-by-august-31-20260730182353379
| Yallen-474 | Yes | 460.81 |
| JesusFK | Yes | 320.11 |
| taerv534 | Yes | 283 |
| johnny2k | Yes | 250 |
| SiliconBets | Yes | 250 |
| Cbb. | Yes | 200 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 158.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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