Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 13 points from 30% when the market opened on 21 Jan 2026.
Across the 247 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (35 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 6 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16%; a month before, 17%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 36.5% on 7 Jul 2026.
$19.71K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $322.38, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 219 trades, $660.99 bought Yes and $4.24K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Intelligent-Help with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is QMG-CORE with 596. Ten wallets hold 87.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 247 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Intelligent-Help | Yes | 999.79 |
| QMG-CORE | No | 596.44 |
| iutwpfal | No | 530.7 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Rihanna or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rihanna-confirmed-pregnant-in-2026
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 282 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 265.68 |
| pleasefademe | Yes | 255.68 |
| BamseOgKylling | No | 250 |
| aLomorah | No | 107.5 |
| ultraplayz | No | 100 |
| charlatta | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
