Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 29% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 30% on 29 Apr 2026. $26.57K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 9:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 36.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thin-Membrane | No | 14.44K |
| GTFKY | No | 459 |
| 0xzitu | No | 310 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 300.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892). This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count. An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/qatarenergy-announcesresumes-lng-production-in-qatar-by-may-31
| S888 | No | 110 |
| fm14 | No | 100 |
| Steel-Avenue | No | 45.39 |
| PPMT | No | 43.84 |
| Cautious-Eyebrow | No | 43.82 |
| ma99 | No | 32.39 |
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