What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: April” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: April Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Nothing on 12 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

62 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 13, 2:51 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-april-997) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Nothing: Nothing Ever Happens: April

Market referencenothing-ever-happens-april-997Updated May 13, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Nothing · settled May 12, 2026 UTC

Nothing

100.0%

Something

0.0%

Final Nothing 100¢Final Something 0¢

Lifetime volume

$131.3K

Resolved

Nothing

Settled

May 12, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 13, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Nothing

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

83%

Yes / No shares

16.33 / 12.58K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

221

Loaded notional

$56.54K

Nothing sell at 99.6%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+34 pts

Range

60.0% - 100.0%

Apr 9, 12:00 AM UTC to May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
ACara	Something	2.2K	0.7%	$2.21K
Golden Atlas 0172	Something	1.87K	3.2%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Nothing Ever Happens: April” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Nothing Ever Happens: April Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Nothing on 12 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $200 - Fed decides any change in April - US military action against Cuba - Anyone jailed over Epstein disclosures Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_APRIL_2.pdf
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

ACara

Something

2.2K

0.7%

$2.21K

Golden Atlas 0172

Something

1.87K

3.2%

Trader	Current holding value
byhua	$10
TekashiTaske	$6.33
ACara	$0
Golden Atlas 0172	$0
barronwill	$0
Comfortable-Response	$0
Both-Pimple	$0
MH43	$0
Violet Raven F1A3	$0
Meatworks	$0
lIllIIl	$0
Envious-Sonar	$0