
Yes is at 64.5%, down 1 point from 65.5% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026, the highest close was 65.5% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
February 28 is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?”, ahead of December 31 at 41%.
$849.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $849.66 since listing. The order book holds $222.72, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is SmartBoyBilly with 150 shares; the largest No position is GuyFromTinder with 80.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 65.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 64.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 150 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 80 |
| AJSV | No | 60 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-3pt2-released-byptptpt
| JsonStatham |
| Yes |
| 47 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 45.5 |
| boofa | No | 40 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 22.5 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| Silver Atlas DDDA | No | 20 |
| Costly-Swell | Yes | 2.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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