
Yes is at 41.5% on Polymarket.
December 31 ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?”. February 28 leads at 64.5%.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $695.53, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 40 shares; the largest No position is Carabao with 20.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 69 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 2:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 41.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI's next Kimi K model (3.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K" followed by a version designation of 3.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors such as "Pro" or "Highspeed". For example, a version 3.2 or higher named in the same manner as Kimi K3 or Kimi K3.1 Pro would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Kimi K4, while models which retain a version designation below 3.2, such as Kimi K3.1 Pro or Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed (released October 23, 2026), including any open-weight release, rollout, or snapshot of them, or Kimi K2.8 Preview, will not qualify. Models outside the Kimi K series, such as Kimi-VL, Kimi-Audio, Kimi-Dev, or Kimi Linear, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-kimi-k-model-3pt2-released-byptptpt
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page