Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, down 2.5 points from 16% when the market opened on 14 Aug 2026.
Across the 68 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 16.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 16.5% on 8 Sep 2026.
$140 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $26.32K since listing. The order book holds $6.22K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 237 trades, $1.36K bought Yes and $9K bought No; the largest was a $2.95K buy of No at 81.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Digital-Nightmare with 1.8K shares; the largest No position is gorovi with 6.8K. Ten wallets hold 82.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 16.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gorovi | No | 6.82K |
| Digital-Nightmare | Yes | 1.76K |
| alchimik | Yes | 1.16K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-pandemic-before-2028
| Jcmiras |
| Yes |
| 924 |
| FuckKhamenei | Yes | 888.25 |
| uraw | No | 635.96 |
| AlexiosV | Yes | 605 |
| SS123 | Yes | 533.12 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 449.39 |
| pollution | No | 400.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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