Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 16.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 12 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 16% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 31.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 47.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| collectorr | No | 311.89 |
| quiettable | No | 135.77 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 122.94 |
| kiddddddd | No | 118.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities that do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify. The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect. Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/more-eu-sanctions-on-russia-by-march-31
| xiaodouzi | No | 100 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 100 |
| Lunar Oracle A9D0 | No | 88 |
| PX5300 | No | 59.95 |
| airdrofamer | No | 48.01 |
| paas2 | No | 30 |
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