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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.39 | $0.400 | $0.33 | +$0.18 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.660 | $14.51 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.22 |
| $0.520 |
| $0.2 |
| +$0.09 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.232 | $0.11 | -$0.12 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | Yes | 1.46 | $0.530 | $0.1 | -$0.68 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.270 | $0.08 | -$0.08 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | No | 0.96 | $0.261 | $0.07 | -$0.18 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 0.44 | $0.550 | $0.05 | -$0.2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | 0.46 | $0.540 | $0.04 | -$0.2 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.5 | $0.250 | $0.01 | -$0.12 |
| sell |
| 24 |
| $0.580 |
| $13.92 |
| Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.81 | $0.390 | $5.39 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 29 | $0.080 | $2.32 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.460 | $5.06 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?No | buy | 6.71 | $0.260 | $1.74 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.320 | $8.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.460 | $14.26 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.630 | $14.49 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.550 | $14.85 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.576 | $14.4 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 27 | $0.540 | $14.58 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.140 | $0.84 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | sell | 55 | $0.180 | $9.9 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.250 | $0.25 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.420 | $11.76 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.140 | $2.52 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 55 | $0.260 | $14.3 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.300 | $8.1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.284 | $14.2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.400 | $20.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.230 | $11.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No | sell | 56 | $0.240 | $13.44 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.110 | $6.82 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.210 | $14.91 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.350 | $4.55 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No | buy | 25.35 | $0.260 | $6.59 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.140 | $9.1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.516 | $14.45 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.190 | $12.92 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.300 | $2.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 27.87 | $0.470 | $13.1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.240 | $15.6 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.530 | $14.84 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.210 | $7.35 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.270 | $14.85 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.72 | $0.490 | $6.23 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.444 | $14.65 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.270 | $10.53 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 31 | $0.340 | $10.54 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 7 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Apr 9, 2026 |