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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 26?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.410 | $9.47 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.34 |
| $0.810 |
| $10 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.040 | $0.11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?No | sell | 1.84 | $0.100 | $0.18 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.240 | $0.34 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.140 | $0.24 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.98 | $0.270 | $0.53 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.530 | $1.09 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.350 | $0.88 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.8 | $0.180 | $0.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.765 | $3.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | sell | 12.22 | $0.690 | $8.43 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.13 | $0.343 | $7.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.39 | $0.020 | $1.11 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 65.95 | $0.039 | $2.58 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?Yes | sell | 65.98 | $0.199 | $13.14 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 90.08 | $0.098 | $8.87 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 146.47 | $0.028 | $4.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | sell | 153.29 | $0.024 | $3.64 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 165 | $0.059 | $9.67 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | sell | 182.08 | $0.022 | $4.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | sell | 227.49 | $0.034 | $7.66 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 258.58 | $0.018 | $4.55 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.77 | $0.270 | $0.21 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.140 | $0.21 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.180 | $0.13 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.94 | $0.360 | $0.7 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.57 | $0.887 | $15.59 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?Yes | sell | 15.77 | $0.770 | $12.14 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?Yes | sell | 27.7 | $0.344 | $9.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | sell | 39.75 | $0.690 | $27.43 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.040 | $0.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 17.97 | $0.030 | $0.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?Yes | sell | 37.9 | $0.350 | $13.26 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes | sell | 33.29 | $0.125 | $4.15 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.028 | $0.13 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.027 | $0.14 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 11.46 | $0.060 | $0.69 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.025 | $0.12 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | sell | 22.49 | $0.068 | $1.53 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10.91 | $0.021 | $0.23 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by March 31?Yes | sell | 92.03 | $0.058 | $5.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by March 31?Yes | sell | 86.59 | $0.040 | $3.46 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 100.49 | $0.543 | $54.56 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.47 | $0.720 | $6.82 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 35.53 | $0.550 | $19.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.19 | $0.320 | $6.14 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in March?Yes | sell | 111.13 | $0.230 | $25.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?Yes | sell | 106.97 | $0.080 | $8.56 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?Yes | sell | 159.47 | $0.095 | $15.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |