
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 8 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 32.7% on 18 Dec 2025. $34.6K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 2:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 177 points · 8 Oct 2025 – 1 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Randomizer1 | Yes | 315 |
| D3X- | Yes | 252.63 |
| NiceMonster | Yes | 250 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mike-johnson-out-as-speaker-by
| Bold Pioneer 0D24 | Yes | 124.99 |
| vanbujhm | Yes | 116.67 |
| angentengram | Yes | 113.37 |
| 00xx1122 | Yes | 74 |
| datadawg | Yes | 52.87 |
| Scattershot88 | Yes | 50 |
| Basquo | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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