Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | Jun 30, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 13 |
| $0.350 |
| $4.55 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.003 | $5.7 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.007 | $0.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.110 | $0.69 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.64 | $0.025 | $1.22 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?Yes | sell | 190 | $0.430 | $81.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 166 | $0.990 | $164.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 78.27 | $0.020 | $1.57 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.920 | $184.06 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 138.28 | $0.601 | $83.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 438.08 | $0.038 | $16.73 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | sell | 291.98 | $0.012 | $3.54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | sell | 107.84 | $0.060 | $6.52 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.66K | $0.005 | $8.3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | sell | 659.85 | $0.017 | $11.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes | sell | 501.24 | $0.082 | $41.15 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.877 | $175.3 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.965 | $192.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 200 | $0.740 | $148 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 45.89 | $0.925 | $42.45 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 29.75 | $0.941 | $27.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 193.38 | $0.050 | $9.74 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 153.92 | $0.053 | $8.17 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 67.7 | $0.053 | $3.59 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.85 | $0.026 | $0.93 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 25.57 | $0.042 | $1.07 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.270 | $1.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.040 | $1.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.030 | $2.1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 79.23 | $0.036 | $2.85 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.011 | $4.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 129.87 | $0.084 | $10.91 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 80.21 | $0.570 | $45.72 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.986 | $197.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.986 | $197.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.987 | $197.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.986 | $197.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 32.64 | $0.130 | $4.24 | Apr 23, 2026 |