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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2K | $0.550 | $1.01K | -$95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.74K | $0.067 | $182.66 | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 500 |
| $0.973 |
| $490.25 |
| +$3.75 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 400 | $0.950 | $347 | -$33 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.969 | $98.5 | +$1.6 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 539.9 | $0.017 | $1.35 | -$7.83 |
| buy |
| 2.74K |
| $0.402 |
| $1.1K |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.230 | $300 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 2.04K | $0.999 | $2.03K | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.059 | $1.18 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Yes | buy | 479.99 | $0.208 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.790 | $790 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.770 | $169.4 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.501 | $2.51 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.680 | $203.89 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.887 | $319.32 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.098 | $39.1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.887 | $25.72 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 267 | $0.887 | $236.83 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.089 | $8.9 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.088 | $9.59 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.887 | $15.08 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 294.11 | $0.113 | $33.23 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.087 | $17.5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.887 | $17.74 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.630 | $113.4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | sell | 35.43 | $0.813 | $28.82 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 267.73 | $0.187 | $50 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 381.98 | $0.160 | $61 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 187.5 | $0.160 | $30 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 469.84 | $0.064 | $30 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.450 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.068 | $20 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | sell | 1K | $0.967 | $966.64 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.964 | $96.4 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.836 | $1.42K | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 23?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 23?No | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 23?No | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 23?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 0.99 | $0.017 | $0.02 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.250 | $30 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 144.8 | $0.041 | $5.94 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.985 | $197 | Oct 19, 2025 |